• Skip to primary navigation
  • Skip to main content
  • Skip to primary sidebar

Her Loyal Sons

A Notre Dame Football Blog

  • Home
  • Discord
  • ND Bowl Tie-Ins
  • Merch
  • Extra Life
  • Navigation Menu: Social Icons

    • Twitter
    • Facebook
    • Instagram
    • YouTube
    • RSS
Home > Notre Dame Football > 5 Games: 1 Loss Needed

5 Games: 1 Loss Needed

November 14, 2012 by Twibby

First thing is first: Notre Dame MUST beat Wake Forest and Southern Cal. If either of those games are losses there will have been no point to arguing that ND was unfairly ranked behind Oregon and Kansas State.

Buuuuuuut while the team focuses on the Demon Deacons, as fans we can afford to look ahead. IF the Irish are able to take care of business, it looks like the only hope for a national championship birth would include a loss by either the Ducks or the Wildcats.

With a combined 5 games remaining for Oregon and KSU, we look at where that much needed upset could (hopefully) be found. Games are listed from least likely to be an upset to most likely to be an upset.

5) Kansas State at Baylor
When: This Saturday (November 17th)

Baylor’s offense has been terrific – the Bears are 7th in the country in scoring, putting up almost 43 points per game. On the other side of the ball, though, Baylor has been nothing short of horrendous with the 3rd worst scoring defense in the nation. At the end of the day an apparently healthy Collin Klein will trounce a Baylor team that has only beaten SMU, Sam Houston State, Louisiana-Monroe and Kansas en route to a season defining matchup with Texas (see below).

4) Oregon at Oregon State
When: November 24th

Yes, Oregon State is ranked 11th and will likely come into the game at 8-2 overall. As I’ll discuss about Oregon vs. Stanford below, I believe a team will need to be able to effectively run the football to keep the Ducks offense off the field, and Oregon State has the 113th ranked rushing offense in the country. While it is a home game for the Beavers and the crowd will undoubtedly be out of its collective mind for the Civil War, don’t hold your breath for an upset (unless the Ducks skill players are still beat up from the physical Stanford defense).

3) Oregon vs. USC (…probably)
When: Pac-12 Championship (November 30th)

If the Trojans can get past UCLA they will earn a rematch with the Ducks in the Pac-12 Championship. For this game to matter to Notre Dame fans, the Irish will have already gone into the Coliseum and handed Kiffykins and Company their 4th loss of the season. In that case, the Trojans will be playing for a trip to the Rose Bowl instead of  trip to the Holiday Bowl, and will be playing to avenge an embarrassing defensive effort earlier this season. If UCLA beats USC next week the Ducks may be waltzing their way through the game en route to Miami.

2) Oregon vs. Stanford
When: This  Saturday (November 17th)

Irish fans got to see the 13th ranked Cardinal firsthand, and while David Shaw’s squad has once again been stout defensively they have historically struggled against Oregon, giving up over 50 points to the Ducks in each of the last two seasons. It will be interesting to see how a much weaker Stanford offense affects the game – I expect Shaw will try to control the time of possession and hope that Stepfan Taylor can churn for enough first downs that Oregon’s offense has difficulty finding a rhythm. In that strange way, Stanford may have a better shot without Andrew Luck at the helm….or not.

1) Kansas State vs. Texas
When: December 1st

Since the Pac-12 Championship is played the night before the Longhorns travel to Manhattan, it is very conceivable that we watch this game knowing that Notre Dame’s final hope rests with a team that lost to Oklahoma by 42 at home. Is Texas better than Kansas State? Almost certainly not. But Bill Snyder’s squad, representing a school that has historically been a bottom-dweller in the college football world, will have an unimaginable weight on their shoulders entering this game if they know a win will land them in Miami. I keep thinking back to December 1, 2007 when the West Virginia Mountaineers only needed a win over lowly Pittsburgh to reach the national championship game and, despite averaging 42 points per game to that point (KSU is averaging 42 points per game, by the way), absolutely laid a brick and lost 13-9.  We can only hope it doesn’t come to this, but there is a very good chance we’ll all be Longhorns fans on 12/1.

  • Author
  • Recent Posts
Twibby
Featured Columnist: Notre Dame Football & The College Football World

Proof that, sooner or later, everyone comes around to love the Irish.



After growing up as a Notre Dame hating, misguided youth, it only took one visit to campus during high school for Twibby to realize the error of his ways. From that point on Twibby and the Irish have had what can only be described as a true Hollywood love story. When he's not reminiscing about his time in South Bend and pondering ways to get a 5th year of eligibility as a student, Twibby writes about Notre Dame and the rest of the college football world for HLS. Along with the Irish, he is a diehard fan of the Chicago Bears, Bulls, Blackhawks and Cubs with a strange affection for Northwestern Wildcats football.



Read all posts by Twibby



Follow @HLS_Twibby
Latest posts by Twibby (see all)
  • Chicks Dig the Long Ball: Irish Receivers ’13 - October 23, 2013
  • Breaking Down the Run/Pass Balance - September 26, 2013
  • 3 Questions for MSU - September 19, 2013

Share this:

  • Tweet
  • Email

Filed Under: Notre Dame Football

About Twibby

Featured Columnist: Notre Dame Football & The College Football World
Proof that, sooner or later, everyone comes around to love the Irish.

After growing up as a Notre Dame hating, misguided youth, it only took one visit to campus during high school for Twibby to realize the error of his ways. From that point on Twibby and the Irish have had what can only be described as a true Hollywood love story. When he's not reminiscing about his time in South Bend and pondering ways to get a 5th year of eligibility as a student, Twibby writes about Notre Dame and the rest of the college football world for HLS. Along with the Irish, he is a diehard fan of the Chicago Bears, Bulls, Blackhawks and Cubs with a strange affection for Northwestern Wildcats football.

Read all posts by Twibby

Follow @HLS_Twibby

Previous Post: « Notre Dame vs. Boston College: A Twitter Summary
Next Post: Examining Notre Dame’s Offensive Efficiency »

Reader Interactions

Comments

  1. SeanF

    November 14, 2012 at 7:30 am

    I don’t care about final rankings and BCS dog and pony shows – I only hope we win the scheduled games we get. That would be awesome to me to have victories over Wake Forest and USC. Matt Hinton just wrote about our close squeeker victories over teams as a discriminating factor. In past years we tended to lose those games. I am so grateful we are playing so well this year, that we can point to a 10-0 season. Let’s go Irish! Beat the Demon Deacons!

    • NDtex

      November 14, 2012 at 10:13 am

      Problem with Hinton’s thesis though is that Kansas State have had similar squeakers. They are just being ignored. Why, I don’t know.

  2. kevin

    November 14, 2012 at 11:43 am

    Maybe k-state will pull a 1998 and choke the last game of the year like they did to A&M way back when. There’s always hope, eh?

Primary Sidebar

Latest Podcast

Click here to support the pod!

Recent Posts

The Cowboy Beebop "See You Space Cowboy" ending title frame with the HLS logo.

Epilogue

HLS Podcast Finale

Manti Te'o Faux Cover

The Final Fiesta: Notre Dame vs Oklahoma State NCAA ’14 Sim

Penultimate Picks Pod

2021 Bowl Picks: Week 2

Copyright © 2023 · Foodie Pro & The Genesis Framework · Login

loading Cancel
Post was not sent - check your email addresses!
Email check failed, please try again
Sorry, your blog cannot share posts by email.