The Big Win

This was a big win. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. Hell, go ahead and see how outrageous you can get with the superlatives over this win, and then challenge any and all comers to try to bring you down. And then ignore them. Because this is a big win. Notre Dame has played 1179 games, won 842 of them, and should count this win among some of the most significant for a variety of reasons, not the least of which is that this win represents the end to the longest drought between victories over Top 15 ranked teams in the program's history.

storming the field

Thanks to @paddytim for the pic!

And the Irish pulled it off with about two thirds of a starting lineup.

Until last Saturday, Notre Dame hadn't beaten a top-15 team since it defeated Michigan in September of 2005. Every similar drought in the program's history had lasted, at most, 3 seasons. This drought lasted more than 5 full calendar years.

Notre Dame hadn't defeated a top-15 team while being unranked itself since the prior year, in 2004, when Notre Dame was 5 and 3, trying to shake off the effects of a loss to Boston College the previous week, and headed into Tennessee to meet and beat the #9 ranked Volunteers. Of the 103 wins over teams ranked 15th or better in Notre Dame's history, the win against Utah represents only the 19th such victory wherein Notre Dame was unranked at game time. It's just the 10th Irish win over a top-15 team since Holtz left Notre Dame.

So this win is big, no matter what the media or the Cassandras of Notre Dame fandom might want to say about the mental state of Utah. So what if TCU beat them to a pulp a week before. Notre Dame was beaten to a pulp by Navy this year. The mental hurdles ND had to clear for the game last weekend make Utah's troubles pale in comparison. The last time the Irish beat a top-15 team, the Irish didn't also have a losing record, even as an unranked team in 2004. Actually, the last time an Irish team beat a top-15 team while being unranked and possessing a losing record was October 11th, 2003, against #15 Pitt. So, again, this is a big win, even among all those historic, ancient, sacred wins ND has accumulated over the course of 1179 contests.

Of course, nothing can be gleaned from it.

Just as historically significant as this win may be, as we just pointed out, some really awful coaches have pulled off similar feats at Notre Dame. Ty Willingham beat top-15 ranked competition 5 times in his 3 years, laying claim to half of ND's victories over top-15 teams since the Holtz era. Hell, Ty did it 3 times while his team was unranked between 2003 and 2004. Bob Davie beat top-15 competition 3 times in his 5 years, managing to do the whole "unranked miracle whipping" of a top-15 team on the road during his first year while visiting at LSU. If they can do it, so could you.

But then, neither Davie nor Willingham ever had to take over a program that had suffered either Davie or Willingham or, gulp, both. For Davie, he was taking over a program with a win percentage of 71%. Yep, even including Faust's years, the previous 15 years had been pretty good times for the Irish. Willingham had to take over following Davie and his sins, but he also had a program with a 15 year win rate of 72%. Davie was bad, but he may not have been as bad as Faust. Weis took over a program with a 15 year win rate of 66%. And Kelly? Kelly's taken on a program with a win rate of 59% over the previous 15 years. As we've written quite a bit, Kelly's taken on a program that is broken. Completely. And with a backup QB, TE, NT, half a starting receiving corps, and an underperforming OLB at middle linebacker, he just beat a top-15 team after suffering the worst 2 weeks in the program's history.

Maybe it's just an apparition. Maybe this win just feels so big because ND is so far removed from the accumulation of regular wins against top competition thanks to the dire effects of 3 eras of coaching. Maybe it's just shear luck that ND's defense held a team averaging 41 points a game to 3. Perhaps it's just a bit of serendipity that ND finally blocked and returned a punt for a TD. It's gotta be some sort of miracle that Harrison Smith made that pick. Or that Prince Shembo left the opposing QB laying in the dirt in the fetal position - the sort of after-hit-image ND fans have craved for half a decade. Or that Jonas Gray broke off a 36 yard run after reversing course. What stars had to align to make sure that Rees, after throwing 3 picks against the worst pass defense in the nation, didn't have a single interception against the 18th ranked pass defense of the Utes? How lucky was it that Duval Kamara made 2 touchdown grabs. What were the chances that we'd see Brian Smith have the best game of his career since his freshman year while he fought back the emotions of his own Senior Day?

And what were the odds that we'd see all of these things that we've not seen done by people we've not seen do them actually happen against a top-15 team?

Some will claim that Utah was overrated. Others will say that the ball just bounced the right way for ND. They can say what they want. I just know that, in the last 15 seasons, including 2010, Notre Dame has faced a top-15 team 36 times, has only won ten times, and this is the biggest margin of victory for the Irish in any of those contests.*

This is a big win.

* The previous largest MOV in those previous 35 contests was 18 pts, in Davie's win over LSU in 1997.

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