"We should EASILY be 10-2 next year - anything less and Weis should be gone."
"This schedule is so weak, no teams on there will be any good except USC so 11-1 is the minimum acceptable result in the regular season."
People, please. If anything, the last 2 years have taught us that we have no idea what to expect from teams this early in the year.
Last year, had Texas Tech been on our schedule at the beginning of the season, fans would've called it an easy/must win (bc if we lost, we'd be losing to a "tier 2" team). At the end of the year, you'd call a win over TT a great win over a great program! The point is that you don't KNOW how good a team is going to be this fall. Yes, you have a general barometer, but we have no idea if this schedule will be in the Top 40 or the Bottom 40 in SOS. Yeah, it'll probably fall somewhere between, but the key word is PROBABLY! As in, there's a probability but not a certainty.
Two years ago we all expected 7-5ish (ISH! I'm not saying that's what YOU individually expected, it's a generalization), and went 3-9. Last year folks generally ended up around 8-4 and we went 6-6. Michigan (sucks!) fans thought they'd be .500 or better last year, and they went 3-9. Nobody expected Texas Tech to be in the BCS MNC hunt last year.
Yes, you can run down our schedule and assign probabilities of wins, but there's 2 factors that will make you wrong at least a decent chunk of the time. 1, the program we're playing ends up being better than you expected, or 2, luck. Even if you get a program nailed spot on, on any given Saturday and all that crap.
For what it's worth, I think 10-2 is a good result in the Fall based on what we know TODAY. It assumes a loss to USC and one other (which, odds are, will happen due to luck/weather/injury/weirdness/whatever). 9-3 means this happens twice, and that really isn't the end of the world. It's BCS or NY day worthy, and that's a Top 20 finish with a bowl win for sure. 11-1 is amazing given recent history, and 12-0 isn't impossible but it's certainly unlikely (very unlikely, as it is for any team, bc you can't make many mistakes at all and you can't have injuries and blah blah blah).
But what we know TODAY isn't a whole lot. Teams will change a lot through the spring and early fall. Our team will change a lot. Some teams could have breakout stars come out of nowhere. Some teams (except Michigan (sucks) bc they suck) could be surprisingly good. You just don't know til you know.
So can people stop 'demanding' certain things based on what they 'know' about the schedule? It's just really pointless, and it makes you look foolish.
Thanks for listening. Ranting is good for the soul.
By IrishHeff February 26, 2009 - 3:13 pm
I agree, ndnation needs to take a chill pill. Step one for us is improving the overall product on the field with physical play and strategy (insert schematic advantage joke here). Ask Hawaii how their “record” worked out for them in the Sugar Bowl against UGA last year. It doesn’t mean anything unless the team improves consistently and at a high level. The 10-2 ultimatum crap comes from the same elitist attitude at the wine and cheese parties that plague our tailgating and stadium atmosphere.
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By trey February 27, 2009 - 12:23 am
This is going to be the year to knock off USC, IMO. Green QB, AT South Bend, Jimmy’s a junior with a lot of middle-to-upperclass talent around him. 11-1 12-0 isnt completely loony to forecast.
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By tjak February 27, 2009 - 1:34 pm
I get worked up enough during the season about the wins and losses, I really have no energy to stress out about that six months in advance. I’ll just enjoy spring practice, the Blue and Gold game and watching the four and five star recruits pile up for next years class. Oh yeah, Go Irish Hockey!!!
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By san diego irish February 27, 2009 - 5:56 pm
I’m with Trey. I think ND knocks off Troy this year.
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By domer.mq February 28, 2009 - 9:10 pm
I’m confused. Where’s the creepy marzipan baby picture?
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